We show that the distribution of KMD is limited between central Nepal on the east and north east Afghanistan on the west and is primarily determined by precipitation of driest quarter, annual mean temperature, water vapor, and precipitation during the coldest quarter. ...About 1 4 th of the current habitat will remain as climate refugia in future. Since the existing network of protected areas will only include a tiny fraction 4 of the climatic refugia of KMD, the fate of the species will be determined by the interplay of more urgent short term forces of poaching and habitat degradation and long term forces of climate change....